zaterdag 22 november 2008

Enquete Israel verkiezingen: Likoed 32-34, Kadima 23-28, Labor 8-10 zetels

 
De PvdA is momenteel weer helemaal terug in de peilingen. De Israëlische Arbeidspartij (Labor) heeft nog een hele weg te gaan...
 
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3 polls Likud 32-34, Kadima 23-28, Labor 8-10
 
Dr. Aaron Lerner
Date 20 November 2008

 
Poll #1 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 536 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)  carried out by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz for Israel Radio's Hakol Diburim (It's All Talk) 19 November 2008.28% undecided with undecided allocated proportionally.

Poll #2  Telephone poll of a representative sample of 500 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)  carried out by Dahaf 19 November 2008 and published in Yediot Ahronot on 20 November.

Poll #3 Telephone poll of a representative sample of 488 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs)  carried out by Dialog poll under the supervision of Prof. Camil Fuchs of Tel Aviv University on 18 November 2009 published in Haaretz on 20 November

#1  #2 #3
23  26 28  [29] Kadima headed by Livni
08  08 10  [19] Labor
34  32 34  [12] Likud
13  11 10  [12] Shas
10  09 10  [11] Yisrael Beteinu
07  06 04  [09] "Jewish Home" (previously Nat'l Union/NRP)
05  07 06  [06] Yahadut Hatorah
10  07 07  [05] Meretz
01  03 00  [00] Green Party
00  00 00  [00] Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00  00 00  [07] Retirees Party
09  11 11  [10] Arab parties
00  00 00  [00] Meimad
00  00 00  [00] Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
00  00 00  [00] Hatikvah (Eldad)

Additional Poll#1 Maagar Mohot  details crosstabilation

How would vote today according to who voted for in 2003:
Column #1 = voted Labor in 2003
Column #2 = voted Likud in 2003
Column #3 = voted Kadima in 2003
Column #4 = total sample

For example, 26% of those who voted for Kadima in 2003 will vote for Likud now.
While 6% of people who voted Likud in 2003 don't know how they wil vote, 21% of those who voted Likud in 2003 haven't decided how to vote.

#1--- #2-- #3-- #4
28% 13% 33% 14% Kadima headed by Livni
37% 00% 10% 05% Labor
02% 67% 26% 20% Likud
00% 04% 03% 08% Shas
02% 04% 03% 06% Yisrael Beteinu
00% 02% 00% 04% "Jewish Home" (previously Nat'l Union/NRP)
00% 00% 00% 03% Yahadut Hatorah
06% 02% 04% 06% Meretz
00% 00% 00% 01% Green Party
00% 00% 00% 00% Social Justice (Gaydamak Party)
00% 02% 00% 00% Retirees Party
00% 00% 00% 05% Arab parties
00% 00% 00% 00% Meimad
00% 00% 00% 00% Strong Israel (Efraim Sneh)
00% 00% 00% 00% Hatikvah (Eldad)
25% 06% 21% 28% Don't know

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis)
(mail POB 982 Kfar Sava)
Website: http://www.imra.org.il

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